Sports betting is often very profitable if an individual know the secrets and techniques often the “smart money” bettors use to consistently make money. The most significant secrets that smart money bettors use is usually knowing when NOT in order to bet.
Here’s a ideal example. We analyzed the particular West Virginia vs. Louisville match, and concluded that will West Florida had this edge in the match. However , My spouse and i also came to the realization that there have been a whole lot of random and unknown factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not wager on this particular game. Here is the analysis I released in advance of the game:
West Va or Louisville
This online game features all the indications of being one of the best games connected with the year, with both teams coming into the overall game 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia as opposed to. #5 ranked Louisville, equally with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Ufabet 168 was a classic, using Western Virginia coming back again from being down major in the final fraction to winning in overtime, however,.
So what’s the adventure look like this year?
In the event this game were being played with the basic field, West Virginia will probably be a 4-6 place favorite. Since the game is within Louisville, WVU is a 1-point under dog. Let’s see if this will make sense…
West Virginia is on an unprecedented move. They haven’t lost given that Oct. 1, 2005, heading 14-0 since they shed to Florida Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS in addition. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last 9 video games overall, and 8-2 ATS in their final 10 STREET games.
These kind of are some very impressive stats that tilt the scales in favor associated with WVU to get tonight’s games. Plus, the added in added bonus is that WVU will be GETTING +1 point. This could not seem to be like significantly, but in a shut match-up such as this, that extra point could make the difference between some sort of push plus a loss.
But what with regards to Louisville?
Louisville’s stats may be almost as good since WVU’s -except when it comes to Louisville in the point spread. In their last 10 games, Louisville is only 4-6 ATS. Of which said, Louisville is in spite of everything 7-3 ATS in their previous 10 home activities.
Plus if you’re leaning toward WVU, here’s a daunting stat… Louisville hasn’t shed in the home since 12 , 18, 2003! During this latest run Louisville is averaging 49. five points each game at your home, while hitting only letting go of 15. 8 points for every game with home. In case a person didn’t do the mathematics, that means since their own last home reduction they already have averaged beating their own adversaries by about 34 items per game.
What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only been recently 21 points. That method Louisville has beaten typically the range, on average, by way of 13 factors per activity at home due to the fact 2003.
Wow… how can anyone go against that?
Here’s exactly how…
Nearly all of those stats were being piled up during the 2005 season. This year, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to great than great. They are yet to got recent games through which they have already only scored 35, twenty three, 24 points. That games weren’t against Kansas Stycken. or Michigan. Many people have been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.
To put it succinctly the fact that this is still a close activity to phone. Although the things i look for is West Virginia’s safety to carry the working day. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, in addition to Kansas St. can almost all hold Louisville under 35 points, then there’s virtually no cause to think WVU can’t have one to the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest endorsement is to lay off this kind of game and not really bet at all. There will be better activities this weekend with more clear-cut strengths.
The final score with this game was Louisville forty-four, West Va 34. Lousiville won because West Las vegas had 6 fumbles plus allowed Lousiville to give back a punt for a new TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s advantage weren’t so big they will could still win following doing so many mistakes. By way of not betting on this specific game, people critical regarding wagering saved money that they can put to better apply on approaching games.